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GBLB:EURONEXT BRUSSELSGroupe Bruxelles Lambert SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$9.31

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at €9.31, just above the identified support level of €8.96 and marginally below the 20‑day SMA of €10.21, while the 50‑day SMA sits at €9.70, indicating a price that is testing short‑term moving averages. Technical momentum is positive with a bullish MACD histogram (+0.22) and a neutral RSI of 46, and the volume trend is increasing, suggesting renewed buying interest. However, the equity carries a high beta of 1.35 and a 30‑day volatility exceeding 200%, flagging significant price swings. On the valuation side, the price‑to‑book ratio is an ultra‑low 0.08 and the dividend yield stands at a robust 6.4%, yet earnings per share are negative (‑€0.32) and cash flow metrics are flat, raising questions about the sustainability of the payout. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 57.7 and total debt of €7.72 bn, outweighing the cash position of €4.13 bn, which amplifies financial risk.
Recent corporate actions provide mixed signals: the AGM on 7 May confirmed strategic decisions, the company executed a share‑repurchase program in late April, and it disclosed a €0.3 bn divestiture of its stake in Umicore, generating cash but also reducing exposure to a key holding. While the dividend remains attractive, the payout ratio of nearly 5 times earnings signals potential future cuts, and the lack of operating cash flow underscores ongoing profitability challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and rising volume indicate short‑term buying pressure
  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • Recent share buyback may provide temporary price support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
  • Negative earnings and zero cash flow raise profitability concerns
  • Elevated leverage and volatility increase exposure to market swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent earnings deficits and lack of operating cash flow
  • Debt level that could constrain future growth or dividend payments
  • Potential regulatory and macro‑economic pressures on asset‑management earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.20%
Profit Margin-10.13%
Debt/Equity57.73
P/B Ratio0.1
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.2
Support$8.96
Resistance$16.15
MA 20$10.21
MA 50$9.70
MA 200$9.21
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.35
Volatility201.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.